Gutegereza impinduka ku isi: Kugabanuka gushoboka mu myuka ya Carbone muri 2024

Impuguke z’ikirere ziragenda zigirira icyizere ku gihe gikomeye mu kurwanya imihindagurikire y’ikirere-2024 irashobora kwibonera intangiriro yo kugabanuka kwimyuka iva mu rwego rwingufu. Ibi bihuye n’ibyavuzwe mbere n’ikigo mpuzamahanga gishinzwe ingufu (IEA), giteganya intambwe ikomeye mu kugabanya ibyuka bihumanya ikirere hagati ya 2020.

Hafi ya bitatu bya kane by’ibyuka bihumanya ikirere ku isi bikomoka ku rwego rw’ingufu, bigatuma igabanuka ari ngombwa kugira ngo imyuka ihumanya ikirere bitarenze 2050. Iyi ntego ikomeye, yemejwe n’akanama gashinzwe umutekano ku isi k’umuryango w’abibumbye ishinzwe imihindagurikire y’ikirere, ifatwa nk’ingirakamaro mu kugabanya ubushyuhe bw’ubushyuhe. kugeza kuri dogere selisiyusi 1.5 no kwirinda ingaruka zikomeye z’imihindagurikire y’ikirere.

Ikibazo cya “Igihe kingana iki”

Mu gihe IEA's World Energy Outlook 2023 itanga igitekerezo cyo hejuru y’imyuka ihumanya ikirere “bitarenze 2025,” isesengura ryakozwe na Carbon Brief ryerekana ko mu ntangiriro za 2023.Iyi ngengabihe yihuse ituruka ku kibazo cy’ingufu zatewe n’Uburusiya bwateye Ukraine. .

Umuyobozi mukuru wa IEA, Fatih Birol, ashimangira ko ikibazo atari “niba” ahubwo ko “vuba vuba” ibyuka bihumanya ikirere, bishimangira ko iki kibazo cyihutirwa.

Bitandukanye nimpungenge, tekinoroji ya karubone yashyizweho kugirango igire uruhare runini. Isesengura rya Carbon Brief rivuga ko amakara, peteroli, na gaze bizagera ku 2030, bitewe n’iterambere rya "ridahagarikwa" ry’ikoranabuhanga.

Ingufu zisubirwamo mu Bushinwa

Ubushinwa, nk’ibintu byinshi byangiza imyuka ya karubone ku isi, butera intambwe igaragara mu guteza imbere ikoranabuhanga rike rya karubone, bigira uruhare mu kugabanuka kw’ubukungu bw’ibikomoka kuri peteroli. N’ubwo yemeje amashanyarazi mashya akoreshwa n’amakara kugira ngo yuzuze ingufu z’ingufu, ubushakashatsi buherutse gukorwa n’ikigo cy’ubushakashatsi ku bijyanye n’ingufu n’ikirere cyiza (CREA) bwerekana ko imyuka y’Ubushinwa ishobora kwiyongera mu 2030.

Ubushinwa bwiyemeje gukuba gatatu ingufu zishobora kongera ingufu mu 2030, muri gahunda y’isi yose hamwe n’abandi 117 basinye, byerekana impinduka zikomeye. Lauri Myllyvirta wo muri CREA avuga ko imyuka y’Ubushinwa ishobora kwinjira mu “kugabanuka mu miterere” guhera mu 2024 kuko ibivugururwa byuzuza ingufu nshya.

Umwaka Ushyushye

Gutekereza ku mwaka ushyushye wanditswe muri Nyakanga 2023, hamwe n'ubushyuhe buri hejuru y’imyaka 120.000, ibikorwa byihutirwa ku isi birasabwa n’impuguke. Umuryango mpuzamahanga w’iteganyagihe uraburira ko ikirere gikabije gitera kurimbuka no kwiheba, gishimangira ko hakenewe ingamba zihuse kandi zuzuye zo kurwanya imihindagurikire y’ikirere.