Ukukhawulezisa Ukuya Kwi-Green Horizon: Umbono we-IEA wowama-2030

Intshayelelo

Kwisityhilelo esimangalisayo, i-International Energy Agency (IEA) ikhuphe umbono wayo ngekamva lezothutho lwehlabathi. Ngokwengxelo esandul’ ukukhutshwa ethi 'World Energy Outlook', inani lezithuthi zombane (ii-EV) ezihamba ezindleleni zehlabathi lilungele ukwanda phantse ngokuphindwe kalishumi ngonyaka ka-2030. Olu tshintsho lukhulu kulindeleke ukuba luqhutywe yindibaniselwano yemigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente eguqukayo kunye nokuzibophelela okukhulayo kumandla acocekileyo kwiimarike ezinkulu.

Iimoto zombane zisanda

Uqikelelo lwe-IEA alunanto yakwenza notshintsho olukhulu. Ngowama-2030, lubona umhlaba weemoto zehlabathi apho inani lezithuthi zombane ezijikelezayo liza kufikelela kwinani eliphindwe kalishumi kunelikhoyo ngoku. Olu hambo lubonisa inyathelo elikhulu eliya kwikamva elizinzileyo nelinombane.

Utshintsho oluqhutywa yimigaqo-nkqubo

Enye yezinto eziphambili ezibangela olu kukhula okukhulu kukuguquka kwemigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente exhasa amandla acocekileyo. Ingxelo igxininisa ukuba iimarike ezinkulu, kuquka ne-United States, zibona utshintsho kwindlela yokusetyenziswa kweemoto. E-US, umzekelo, i-IEA iqikelela ukuba ngo-2030, ama-50% eemoto ezisandula ukubhaliswa ziya kuba zizithuthi zombane.—ukutsiba okukhulu kwingqikelelo yayo ye-12% kwiminyaka emibini eyadlulayo. Olu tshintsho lubangelwa kakhulu kukuqhubela phambili kwemithetho efana noMthetho wokuNcitshiswa kweNgqesho eMelika.

Impembelelo kwiMfuno yeFosili yeFosili

Njengoko utshintsho lombane luqhubeka ngamandla, i-IEA igxininisa impembelelo ebalulekileyo kwimfuno yamafutha e-fossil. Ingxelo ibonisa ukuba imigaqo-nkqubo exhasa amanyathelo ombane acocekileyo iya kuba negalelo ekunciphiseni imfuno yamafutha e-fossil kwixesha elizayo. Okuphawulekayo kukuba, i-IEA iqikelela ukuba, ngokusekelwe kwimigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente ekhoyo, imfuno yeoyile, igesi yendalo, kunye namalahle iya kufikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo.—utshintsho olungazange lubonwe ngaphambili.