Ukulindela Uguquko Lwehlabathi: Ukwehla Okunokwenzeka Kokukhutshwa Kwekhabhoni Ngowama-2024

Iingcali zemozulu ziya zinethemba ngakumbi malunga nexesha elibalulekileyo ekulweni notshintsho lwemozulu—Unyaka ka-2024 ungabona ukuqala kokwehla kokukhutshwa komoya ongcolileyo kwicandelo lamandla. Oku kuhambelana noqikelelo lwangaphambili lwe-International Energy Agency (IEA), olucinga ngenyathelo elibalulekileyo ekunciphiseni ukukhutshwa komoya ongcolileyo phakathi kweminyaka yoo-2020.

Malunga nekota ezintathu zegesi ezikhutshwayo kwihlabathi liphela zivela kwicandelo lamandla, nto leyo eyenza ukwehla kube yinto ebalulekileyo ekufezekiseni ukukhutshwa kwegesi ngo-2050. Le njongo ibalulekileyo, evunyiwe yi-United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ithathwa njengebalulekileyo ekunciphiseni ukunyuka kwamaqondo obushushu ukuya kwi-1.5 degrees Celsius kunye nokuthintela iziphumo ezibi kakhulu zengxaki yemozulu.

Umbuzo Wokuba “Ixesha Elingakanani”

Nangona i-IEA's World Energy Outlook 2023 icebisa ukuba kubekho incopho kwimveliso ekhutshwayo enxulumene namandla “ngo-2025,” uhlalutyo lweCarbon Brief lubonisa ukuba kubekho incopho yangaphambili ngo-2023. Olu luhlu lwexesha lukhawulezileyo lubangelwa yingxaki yamandla ebangelwe kukuhlasela kweRashiya iUkraine.

UFatih Birol, umlawuli ophetheyo we-IEA, ugxininisa ukuba umbuzo awungowokuba “ukuba” kodwa “kungekudala kangakanani” ukukhutshwa komoya ongcolileyo, nto leyo egxininisa ukungxamiseka kwalo mba.

Ngokuchasene noko kuxhalabileyo, ubuchwepheshe obusebenzisa ikhabhoni ephantsi bumiselwe ukudlala indima ebalulekileyo. Uhlalutyo olufutshane lweKhabhoni luqikelela ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwamalahle, ioyile kunye negesi kuya kufikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngo-2030, okuqhutywa kukukhula "okungenakuthintelwa" kwezi teknoloji.

Amandla Avuselelekayo eTshayina

ITshayina, njengeyona ndawo ikhupha ikhabhoni inkulu ehlabathini, yenza inkqubela phambili ebalulekileyo ekukhuthazeni ubuchwepheshe obusebenzisa ikhabhoni ephantsi, nto leyo enegalelo ekwehleni koqoqosho lwamafutha efosili. Nangona ivumile izitishi ezintsha zamandla ezisebenzisa amalahle ukuhlangabezana neemfuno zamandla, uphando lwakutshanje olwenziwe yiZiko loPhando lwaMandla kunye noMoya ococekileyo (i-CREA) lubonisa ukuba ukukhutshwa komoya eTshayina kunokufikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngo-2030.

Ukuzibophelela kweTshayina ekwandiseni amandla avuselelekayo kathathu ngo-2030, njengenxalenye yesicwangciso sehlabathi kunye nabanye abatyikityi abayi-117, kubonisa utshintsho olukhulu. ULauri Myllyvirta weCREA ucebisa ukuba ukukhutshwa komoya eTshayina kunokungena “ekuncipheni kwesakhiwo” ukusukela ngo-2024 njengoko ukukhutshwa komoya ovuselelekayo kuzalisekisa imfuno entsha yamandla.

Unyaka oshushu kakhulu

Xa sicinga ngonyaka oshushu kakhulu orekhodwe ngoJulayi ka-2023, apho amaqondo obushushu aphezulu ngeminyaka eyi-120,000, iingcali zikhuthaza ukuba kuthathwe amanyathelo angxamisekileyo kwihlabathi liphela. I-World Meteorological Organisation ilumkisa ukuba imozulu embi ibangela intshabalalo kunye nokuphelelwa lithemba, igxininisa imfuneko yemizamo ekhawulezileyo nepheleleyo yokulwa notshintsho lwemozulu.