Ukulindela uGuquko lwehlabathi jikelele: Ukwehla okunokubakho kuMkhuko weCarbon ngo-2024

Iingcali zemozulu ziya zisanda ukuba nethemba malunga nomzuzu obalulekileyo wokulwa nokutshintsha kwemozulu-Ngowama-2024 unokungqina ukuqala kokuhla kokukhutshwa kwezinto ezikhutshwayo kwicandelo lamandla. Oku kuhambelana noqikelelo lwangaphambili lwe-Arhente yezaMandla yaMazwe ngaMazwe (IEA), ibona isiganeko esibalulekileyo sokunciphisa izinto ezikhutshwayo phakathi koo-2020.

Malunga nekota yesithathu yokukhutshwa kwerhasi yobushushu behlabathi ivela kwicandelo lamandla, nto leyo eyenza ukwehla kubaluleke kakhulu ukuze kuphunyezwe ukukhutshwa kwe-net-zero ekhutshwayo ngowama-2050. Le njongo ibhongo, evunywe yi-United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ibonwa ibalulekile ukunqanda ukunyuka kobushushu. ukuya kutsho kwisi-1.5 ngokukaCelsius kwaye kuthintelwe ezona ziphumo ziqatha zengxaki yemozulu.

Umbuzo othi "Kude kube nini"

Ngelixa i-IEA's World Energy Outlook 2023 iphakamisa incopho yokukhutshwa okunxulumene namandla "ngo-2025," uhlalutyo olwenziwe yiCarbon Brief lucebisa incopho yangaphambili ngo-2023. Lo mgca wexesha ukhawulezayo ubalelwa ngokuyinxenye kubunzima bamandla obubangelwe luhlaselo lwaseRussia eUkraine. .

UFatih Birol, umlawuli olawulayo we-IEA, ugxininisa ukuba umbuzo awukho "ukuba" kodwa "ngokukhawuleza kangakanani" ukukhutshwa kuya kunyuka, kugxininisa ukungxamiseka kwalo mbandela.

Ngokuchaseneyo neenkxalabo, iitekhnoloji zekhabhoni ephantsi zimiselwe ukudlala indima ebalulekileyo. Uhlalutyo olufutshane lweCarbon luqikelela ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwamalahle, i-oyile, kunye negesi kuya kunyuka ngo-2030, kuqhutywa kukukhula "okungenakunqandeka" kobu buchwepheshe.

Amandla ahlaziyekayo eTshayina

I-China, njengeyona ndawo ikhupha ikhabhoni inkulu ehlabathini, yenza imitsi ebonakalayo ekukhuthazeni ubugcisa bekhabhoni ephantsi, nto leyo enegalelo ekwehleni koqoqosho lwefosili. Ngaphandle kokuvunywa kwezikhululo zamandla amalahle amatsha ukuhlangabezana neemfuno zamandla, uhlolisiso lwamva nje lweZiko loPhando lwaMandla kunye noMoya ococekileyo (CREA) lubonisa ukuba ukukhutshwa kwe-China kunokunyuka ngo-2030.

Ukuzinikela kwe-China kumthamo wamandla ahlaziyekayo aphindaphindeka kathathu ngo-2030, njengenxalenye yesicwangciso sehlabathi kunye nabanye abatyikitye abali-117, kubonisa utshintsho olubalulekileyo. ULauri Myllyvirta we-CREA ucebisa ukuba izinto ezikhutshwayo zase-China zinokungena “ekuhla kwesakhiwo” ukusukela ngo-2024 njengoko izinto ezihlaziyiweyo zizalisekisa imfuno entsha yamandla.

Owona nyaka ushushu

Ukucinga ngowona nyaka ushushu kakhulu orekhodwe ngoJulayi ka-2023, kunye namaqondo obushushu akwi-120,000 yeminyaka ephezulu, isenzo esingxamisekileyo sehlabathi siyakhuthazwa ziingcali. IWorld Meteorological Organization ilumkisa ngelithi imozulu embi ibangela intshabalalo nokuphelelwa lithemba, igxininisa imfuneko yemigudu ekhawulezileyo nepheleleyo yokulwa nokutshintsha kwemozulu.