Imfoloko endleleni yokugcina amandla

Sesijwayela ukurekhoda iminyaka yokugcina amandla okugcina amandla, kwathi ngo-2024 kwakungekho okuhlukile. Umkhiqizi uTesla wathunyelwa ku-31.4 gwh, up 213% kusuka ku-2023, futhi umhlinzeki wezobunhloli wezobunhloli weBloomberg New Energy waveza ukubikezela kwawo kabili, eqeda unyaka wokugcina amandla nge-2030.

Ama-loops amahle okuphamba kanye nokukhula okubonakalayo kunzima kakhulu ukubikezela. Abantu ababekwe kahle ukucubungula ama-Exponentnts. Ngo-2019, isitoreji se-hydro esigcwele (i-PHS) esihlinzekwa ngama-90% omphumela wamandla we-Global Energy Gcina indawo (kulinganiswe kuma-gigawatts), kodwa amabhethri asethelwe ukukuthola ku-2025 kanye nama-2030 amahora, ngonyaka ka-2030.

Amabhethri abuchwepheshe, hhayi uphethiloli, futhi alandele ukuncishiswa kwamanani "isilinganiso sokufunda" okufana nalokho kwe-semiconductors ye-solar imishini yelanga ukwedlula impahla yamandla endabuko. Izindleko zebhethri zebhethri ziye zawa cishe ngo-29% kuzo zonke iziphindwe kabili zesayizi yemakethe emashumini eminyaka amuva nje, ngokusho kwabaphenyi ethangini le-RMI Calry Tank.

Isizukulwane esisha se- "3xx ah" Lithium Ferro-phosphate (305h, 306Ah, 38Ah, 36AH, 384h, 320, 320AH, 320, 320, 320AH - 320AH, 320AH - Ubengenile ukukhiqizwa, unikeza amaseli aphansi aphezulu nangaphansi kwamaseli angama-280. Babedinga ukukhiqizwa komugqa omncane kokukhiqizwa komugqa ngenxa yefomu elifanayo le-prismatic field.

Ukufunwa kancane kwe-Electric Vehicle (eV) kudale ukweqisa, amanani entengo acindezelayo ebhethri acindezelayo kanye nokuqhudelana ukuncintisana okukhulu kwentengo. Ngo-2024, uhlelo lwesitoreji samandla esijwayelekile (i-ESS) Intengo yala amanani angama-40% kuye ku- $ 165 / kWh, ukwehla okugcwele kurekhodi. Izindleko zamaShayina ziphansi kakhulu, njengethenda yethenda engu-16 ghw Powerchina yabona amanani e-ESS ahamba phambili$ 66.3 / KWh ngoDisemba 2024.

Isikhathi eside se-leapfrogging

Ukuwa kweseli kubiza ngokungahambisani kahle nezinhlelo zokugcina amandla. Lawa maphrojekthi, anezinto eziphakeme zamaseli, ayasebenza ngokushesha okukhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe, ngakho-ke ama-Stored Recorment Reguest angu- "Leapfrogging" ukushintshwa kwamabhethri we-Grid Frequency kanye nase-Australia.

I-Saudi Arabia's Red Sea Project, isibonelo manje, manje isibambiso "I-Microgragid Enkulu Yomhlaba" - Uhlelo olungu-400 MW lweSolar kanye no-225 MW / 1.3 gWh Energy Storage System.

ISaudi Arabia inamabhethri angama-33,5 gwh asebenza, azokwakha, noma anikezwe amathenda - konke okunesikhathi sokugcina amahora amane - kanye nokunye okungu-34 gwh ngaphansi kwecebo lawo lamandla angama-2030. Lokho kungabeka i-saudi arabia phakathi kwezimakethe ezinhlanu eziphezulu zokugcina amandla emhlabeni jikelele ngo-2026. Amandla afanayo angaphesheya kwe-Middle East naseNyakatho Afrika e-Emirates e-United Arab, isikhundla sokuba ngumthengisi wamandla ahlanzekile nakho konke Kakhulu ngaphansi kwe-radar yababikezeli, ngenxa yejubane lentuthuko.

Yendawo nasemhlabeni jikelele

Naphezu kwezitayela ezithembisayo, amaketanga okunikeza ebhethri ahlala ephethwe yiChina. Imizamo yokuthola amaketanga wokunikezela ngesifunda wesifunda ilwele kakhulu ukuncintisana. Ukuwa kweBritishVolt e-United Kingdom kanye nokufakwa kokuvikelwa kokuvimbela i-NorthVolt e-European Union kusebenza njengezibonelo ezicacile. Lokho akuyekanga imizamo yokuhlinzekwa kwebhethri phakathi komhlaba ovikela kakhulu.

I-US Inflation Recuction Reation Act isebenza ngokungenisa imisebenzi yendawo yokukhiqiza kanye nokungenisa imisebenzi emikhiqizweni yaseChina inhloso ukudala amathuba emisebenzi futhi inciphise ukuthembela ekungenisweni kwezingeniso. Lezo zinyathelo zibeka engcupheni yokubukwa kancane kwesitoreji samandla segridi-namandla, noma kunjalo, ngenxa yezindleko eziphakeme eziseduze.

I-China iye yaphindisela ngama-mootinguhleloUkuvimbela ukuthunyelwa kwe-cathode kanye nemishini yokukhiqiza i-anode kanye nokukhishwa kwe-lithium kanye nobuchwepheshe bokuhlaziya. Noma ngabe ukukhiqizwa kweseli kanye nebhethri kwesethwe yebhethri kusakhiwe, izinto ezingavuthiwe zisazogxiliswa eChina, zihambisa i-lightleneck upstream.

Ngo-2025, imakethe yokugcina yamandla emhlabeni ingahlukaniswa kabili. Izimakethe zokuvikelekile ezifana ne-United States, India, kanye noMena zibe zibeka phambili amaketanga okunikezela endawo ekwakheni amathuba emisebenzi ngenkathi i-Global South egxile ekungenisweni kwamanani entela, ukushayela imali etholakalayo kanye nokukhula komnotho.

Lokho kushukumisa okunamandla okuphikisana nokuphikisana nomlando okuphikisana nemithetho ye-corn yango-1800s. Umkhakha wokugcina amandla ubhekene nobunzima obufanayo phakathi kokusungulwa okuqhutshwa ngokuhweba kanye nobungozi bokungalingani kwezomnotho kanye nokufuduka komsebenzi.

Indlela phambili

Ngonyaka ka-2025, uzophawula elinye iphuzu lokugcina amandla embonini yokugcina amandla. Njengoba intuthuko yezobuchwepheshe kanye nezindleko zezobuchwepheshe zisheshise ukwamukelwa futhi ziletha phambili ukugcinwa isikhathi eside, kanye nokwenzeka kwegridi engu-100%--rewayrablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerablerable, amamakethe aya ngokuya elungele ukuchaza kabusha imindeni yawo yamandla. Umjaho wembulunga yonke wokuhlinzekwa kokuhlinzekwa kwamanani wokugcina amandla ugcizelela ukuthi isitoreji samandla asasenaso nje ubuchwepheshe bokusekela, kodwa insika ephakathi yoshintsho lwamandla.

Ukwahlukaniswa kwamaketanga omhlaba jikelele, okukhuthazelwa izinqubomgomo zokuvikela ukuvikela, kuphakamisa imibuzo ecindezelayo mayelana nokulingana kwamandla kanye nokwenziwa okusha. Ngabe i-push yokuqina kwe-drive ekhiqizwayo yasendaweni noma izothuthuka kancane ezimakethe ezincike ekungeneni okungabizi futhi vele ushintshe "iphuzu le-choke" liye phambili?

Ukuzulazula ama-Dynamics, umkhakha wokugcina amandla unamandla okwenza okungaphezu kwezomnotho - kungabeka isibonelo sokuthi izimboni zingalinganisa kanjani ukuncintisana, ukubambisana nokusimama lapho ebhekene nezinselelo zezwe lomhlaba. Izinqumo ezenziwa namuhla zizophinda ziphinde zibheke ngaphezu kwe-2025, zibumbele kuphela ukuguqulwa kwamandla, kepha umkhondo wezomnotho obanzi wamashumi eminyaka ozayo.