Ukulindela Ukuguquka Kwembulunga yonke: Ukwehla Okungaba Khona Ekukhishweni Kwekhabhoni ngo-2024

Ochwepheshe besimo sezulu baya ngokuya beba nethemba ngomzuzu obalulekile ekulweni nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu-Unyaka ka-2024 ungabona ukuqala kokwehla kwezinga eliphumayo elivela emkhakheni wezamandla. Lokhu kuhambisana nezibikezelo zangaphambilini ze-International Energy Agency (IEA), ebona ngengqophamlando ekuncishisweni kwesisi esikhishwayo maphakathi nawo-2020.

Cishe izingxenye ezintathu kwezine zokukhishwa kwesisi esingcolisa umoya emhlabeni wonke sisuka emkhakheni wamandla, okwenza ukwehla kubaluleke kakhulu ukuze kufinyelelwe ukukhishwa kwe-net-zero ngo-2050. Lo mgomo wokufisa, ugunyazwe yi-United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, uthathwa njengobalulekile ukuze kukhawulwe ukukhuphuka kwezinga lokushisa. ku-1.5 degrees Celsius futhi kugwenywe imiphumela emibi kakhulu yenkinga yesimo sezulu.

Umbuzo othi "Kuze kube nini"

Nakuba i-World Energy Outlook 2023 ye-IEA iphakamisa inani eliphakeme lezinto ezikhishwayo ezihlobene namandla “ngo-2025,” ukuhlaziya okwenziwa yiCarbon Brief kuphakamisa inani eliphakeme langaphambilini ngo-2023. Lo mugqa wesikhathi osheshisiwe wenziwa ngokwengxenye yenkinga yamandla ebangelwe ukuhlasela kweRussia i-Ukraine. .

U-Fatih Birol, umqondisi omkhulu we-IEA, ugcizelela ukuthi umbuzo awukona ukuthi “uma” kodwa “kuzoshesha kangakanani” ukukhishwa kwekhabhoni, okugcizelela ukuphuthuma kwalolu daba.

Ngokuphambene nokukhathazeka, ubuchwepheshe bekhabhoni ephansi bumiselwe ukudlala indima ebalulekile. Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Carbon Brief kubikezela ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwamalahle, uwoyela, negesi kuzokhuphuka ngo-2030, kuqhutshwa ukukhula “okungenakuvinjwa” kwalobu buchwepheshe.

Amandla Avuselelekayo e-China

I-China, njengezwe elikhipha ikhabhoni elikhulu kunawo wonke emhlabeni, yenza igxathu elikhulu ekukhuthazeni ubuchwepheshe bekhabhoni ephansi, okunomthelela ekwehleni komnotho wezinsalela ezimbiwa phansi. Naphezu kokugunyaza iziteshi ezintsha zikagesi ngamalahle ukuze zihlangabezane nezidingo zamandla, inhlolovo yakamuva eyenziwe yi-Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) iphakamisa ukuthi ukukhishwa kwegesi yaseChina kungase kunyuke ngo-2030.

Ukuzibophezela kweShayina kumthamo wamandla avuselelekayo aphindeka kathathu ngonyaka wezi-2030, njengengxenye yohlelo lwamazwe ngamazwe nabanye abasayinayo abayi-117, kukhombisa ushintsho olukhulu. U-Lauri Myllyvirta we-CREA uphakamisa ukuthi ukukhishwa kwegesi yaseChina kungase kungene “ekuwohlokeni kwesakhiwo” kusukela ngo-2024 njengoba okuvuselelekayo kufeza isidingo samandla amasha.

Unyaka Oshisa Kakhulu

Uma sibheka unyaka oshisa kakhulu owaqoshwa ngoJulayi 2023, onamazinga okushisa aphakeme ngeminyaka eyi-120,000, isenzo esiphuthumayo somhlaba wonke sinxuswa ochwepheshe. I-World Meteorological Organization ixwayisa ngokuthi isimo sezulu esibi kakhulu sidala umonakalo nokuphelelwa ithemba, igcizelela isidingo semizamo esheshayo nephelele yokulwa nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu.